Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.748730 0.859378 0.980007 1.121182 1.281781 1.458701 1.668292
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.620535 0.778526 0.965665 1.203260 1.496473 1.846063 2.294115
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.524254 0.713950 0.956423 1.288024 1.728599 2.292656 3.068378
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.431055 0.634023 0.912612 1.320883 1.901642 2.695472 3.859898
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.366885 0.579714 0.891769 1.379198 2.117347 3.188367 4.854104
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.303041 0.512459 0.839249 1.381223 2.251425 3.586122 5.777613
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.259569 0.467633 0.811668 1.414795 2.436811 4.086201 6.931912
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.214718 0.411074 0.754249 1.388545 2.519769 4.435326 7.898002
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.191437 0.387585 0.748269 1.447936 2.755173 5.067348 9.426761
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.173961 0.371242 0.751732 1.523947 3.030646 5.805588 11.245456
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.152628 0.342870 0.727193 1.542102 3.200034 6.374594 12.834899
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.133087 0.314155 0.696636 1.542443 3.333457 6.892293 14.396516
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.116314 0.288452 0.668554 1.544821 3.475050 7.452913 16.138265
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.102680 0.267113 0.646085 1.555480 3.636045 8.075912 18.097985
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.092857 0.252851 0.636949 1.594424 3.865028 8.872656 20.536221
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.081647 0.232698 0.610361 1.588077 3.990504 9.463862 22.611712
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.074312 0.221114 0.602464 1.625417 4.223994 10.326629 25.413698
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.065230 0.202739 0.574015 1.606211 4.317301 10.880601 27.579506
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.059207 0.191763 0.562945 1.630192 4.522537 11.726561 30.554026
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.051516 0.174066 0.530277 1.590300 4.556227 12.160062 32.580569
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.048269 0.169425 0.533567 1.651052 4.868095 13.330637 36.613511
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.045914 0.167148 0.543380 1.732366 5.249336 14.729675 41.417781
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.041898 0.158405 0.532136 1.749543 5.452488 15.687753 45.186362